Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 395.078788 448.295251 507.241954 577.587625 659.522500 752.265243 865.642754
2025-12-21 302.453641 368.933112 449.055127 553.528174 687.317960 854.470567 1081.572898
2025-12-28 267.232996 342.427775 438.472583 571.756525 754.476364 999.942970 1361.105747
2026-01-04 244.438323 325.984250 435.205702 594.825283 826.610476 1158.040439 1681.020090
2026-01-11 220.562118 303.897185 419.958059 597.046107 867.008086 1274.252722 1957.363764
2026-01-18 197.019798 278.950361 396.854140 583.457100 880.048310 1348.788566 2178.692544
2026-01-25 178.040333 258.242474 377.080252 571.461366 892.375843 1421.772943 2407.577524
2026-02-01 168.526192 250.445827 375.459603 586.920197 949.941951 1576.117554 2805.912873
2026-02-08 156.685071 237.764735 364.691812 585.767125 978.583955 1683.610515 3136.483088
2026-02-15 145.346422 224.746728 351.942700 579.474295 996.751214 1773.801369 3449.133759
2026-02-22 137.339925 216.338394 345.807879 583.641873 1033.887539 1904.268050 3869.971391
2026-03-01 127.763430 204.486828 332.725748 573.801864 1043.057930 1980.660017 4187.939625
2026-03-08 119.788678 194.861790 322.891151 569.359357 1063.142500 2084.426651 4596.633518
2026-03-15 109.629541 180.716702 303.962243 545.912204 1042.378481 2099.319957 4797.622768
2026-03-22 106.540612 178.677426 306.457655 563.835455 1108.914856 2314.912455 5551.876165
2026-03-29 104.295862 177.925276 311.165208 586.533043 1188.623592 2574.132199 6490.611498
2026-04-05 99.553303 172.234728 306.096180 588.717885 1223.381509 2733.081766 7193.869986
2026-04-12 93.328327 163.341334 294.176933 575.348410 1220.987461 2800.268933 7645.928719
2026-04-19 87.810038 155.401447 283.496036 563.545789 1220.734622 2872.929947 8135.425173
2026-04-26 85.697392 153.803573 285.183429 578.755638 1287.095779 3131.948487 9301.811905
2026-05-03 82.004397 148.879219 279.781464 577.621174 1313.097582 3286.363080 10165.215633
2026-05-10 78.077602 143.235117 272.477942 571.429793 1325.505226 3404.958213 10940.385984
2026-05-17 75.410461 139.921547 269.747969 575.530204 1365.130464 3609.991778 12106.926509